https://jongha-jeon-dev.github.io/standarderror/tags/scaling-laws/Recent content in Scaling-Laws on The Standard ErrorHugo -- 0.123.7en-gbTue, 13 Oct 2026 00:00:00 +0000https://jongha-jeon-dev.github.io/standarderror/lectures/ml-4-learning-curves/Thu, 08 Oct 2026 00:00:00 +0000https://jongha-jeon-dev.github.io/standarderror/lectures/ml-4-learning-curves/Fit a power law to a pilot study's errors and it tells you what more data will buy. Checked against what more data did buy, it was optimistic every time, sometimes past the Bayes error.https://jongha-jeon-dev.github.io/standarderror/lectures/ml-30-scaling/Tue, 13 Oct 2026 00:00:00 +0000https://jongha-jeon-dev.github.io/standarderror/lectures/ml-30-scaling/Eight character transformers, one budget of data and steps. The law fitted to the five smallest predicts the next size almost exactly and the largest too optimistically.