Probability on The Standard Errorhttps://jongha-jeon-dev.github.io/standarderror/tags/probability/Recent content in Probability on The Standard ErrorHugo -- 0.123.7en-gbTue, 13 Oct 2026 00:00:00 +0000ML 34: Recalibration Fixes the Average, Given Enough Rowshttps://jongha-jeon-dev.github.io/standarderror/lectures/ml-34-calibration/Tue, 13 Oct 2026 00:00:00 +0000https://jongha-jeon-dev.github.io/standarderror/lectures/ml-34-calibration/Platt scaling and isotonic regression learn a correction from held-out rows. With few rows they can make a model worse, and with many they fix the average, not each group.