https://jongha-jeon-dev.github.io/standarderror/tags/forecasting/Recent content in Forecasting on The Standard ErrorHugo -- 0.123.7en-gbTue, 18 Aug 2026 00:00:00 +0000https://jongha-jeon-dev.github.io/standarderror/posts/the-chip-cycle-is-forecastable/Tue, 18 Aug 2026 00:00:00 +0000https://jongha-jeon-dev.github.io/standarderror/posts/the-chip-cycle-is-forecastable/A delayed feedback loop, an echo state network, and a result I had the wrong way roundhttps://jongha-jeon-dev.github.io/standarderror/posts/your-forecast-is-probably-just-repeating-yesterday/Thu, 06 Aug 2026 00:00:00 +0000https://jongha-jeon-dev.github.io/standarderror/posts/your-forecast-is-probably-just-repeating-yesterday/A model scores 99% on a series of coin flips. Here is why, and the one number that would have caught it