https://jongha-jeon-dev.github.io/standarderror/tags/extrapolation/Recent content in Extrapolation on The Standard ErrorHugo -- 0.123.7en-gbTue, 13 Oct 2026 00:00:00 +0000https://jongha-jeon-dev.github.io/standarderror/lectures/ml-15-extrapolation/Mon, 12 Oct 2026 00:00:00 +0000https://jongha-jeon-dev.github.io/standarderror/lectures/ml-15-extrapolation/Tree ensembles are said to approximate any function. Inside the training range they do; outside it their predictions go flat, below the largest label they saw, and the best single model becomes the worst.https://jongha-jeon-dev.github.io/standarderror/lectures/ml-30-scaling/Tue, 13 Oct 2026 00:00:00 +0000https://jongha-jeon-dev.github.io/standarderror/lectures/ml-30-scaling/Eight character transformers, one budget of data and steps. The law fitted to the five smallest predicts the next size almost exactly and the largest too optimistically.