https://jongha-jeon-dev.github.io/standarderror/tags/causal-inference/Recent content in Causal-Inference on The Standard ErrorHugo -- 0.123.7en-gbTue, 13 Oct 2026 00:00:00 +0000https://jongha-jeon-dev.github.io/standarderror/lectures/ml-48-intervention/Tue, 13 Oct 2026 00:00:00 +0000https://jongha-jeon-dev.github.io/standarderror/lectures/ml-48-intervention/Importance and what-if analyses describe the model. In a system with a common cause and a downstream signal, the feature the model relied on most did nothing when changed, and the real lever ranked no higher than a feature with no effect.https://jongha-jeon-dev.github.io/standarderror/lectures/ml-49-uplift/Tue, 13 Oct 2026 00:00:00 +0000https://jongha-jeon-dev.github.io/standarderror/lectures/ml-49-uplift/A model of who will churn is not a model of whom an offer will keep. Targeting the highest risk did no better than chance; targeting the predicted effect did about twice as well.